Craps Strategy Tester: Simulate Thousands of Sessions
Jake WilfredYou’ve read about a craps strategy. Sounds good on paper. But does it actually hold up over hundreds of sessions? The Strategy Tester lets you find out without risking a single dollar.
– Simulate any craps strategy over thousands of sessions using Monte Carlo methods – Compare Pass Line, Don’t Pass, Come bets, place bets, and custom combinations – Results show average outcome, best/worst cases, and win rate percentage – No strategy beats the math long-term, but some cost dramatically less than others
How the Simulation Works
Select a strategy (or build a custom one). Set your bankroll, bet size, and number of sessions to simulate. The tool runs Monte Carlo simulations, generating random dice rolls just like a real table, and tracks your balance through each session from start to finish. What you get back is data. Average ending balance. Win rate. Worst-case scenario. Best-case scenario. Standard deviation.
Strategies You Can Test
The tool comes loaded with common approaches: basic Pass Line with odds, Don’t Pass with lay odds, Three-Point Molly, Iron Cross, and place bet spreads. You can also customize your own by combining any bets you like. Each simulation runs independently, so you’ll see the full range of what’s possible with any given approach.
Every strategy tested here shows a negative expected value over time. That’s not a flaw in the tool. That’s the math of craps. The value of this simulator is seeing which strategies cost the least and which ones are bankroll killers in disguise.
Reading the Results
Pay attention to three numbers. The average ending balance tells you what to expect on a typical night. The win rate shows how often you’ll walk away ahead. And the worst-case number tells you how bad things can get. A strategy that wins 45% of sessions with small losses in the other 55% is very different from one that wins 60% of sessions but has catastrophic losses the other 40%. The simulator reveals that difference.
After testing strategies here, use the Session Planner to set appropriate limits for your chosen approach, and check the Risk of Ruin Calculator to see how your bankroll holds up against the variance.
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Craps Strategy Tester FAQs
No, and neither can anything else. The house edge is a mathematical constant. What the tool does show you is which strategies lose the least and which ones give you the best shot at having a winning session despite the long-run math.
At least 1,000 for a reliable picture. The more you run, the clearer the average outcomes become. Short runs can be misleading because of natural variance.
